I'm really really scared

[Wiz Imp]

20. Just hours after House passage, senators are already talking about big changes.

https://www.politico.com/live-updates/2025/05/22/congress/trump-bill-senate-rewrite-00365731

Senate GOP preps for ‘one big, beautiful’ rewrite

Senate Republicans are vowing they will make changes to President Donald Trump’s “big, beautiful bill” after it passed the House early Thursday morning.

While the end product is likely to contain sweeping areas of overlap with the proposal negotiated by Speaker Mike Johnson, GOP senators made clear Thursday that the House bill can’t pass without major changes. Some of the member demands are contradictory, with some fiscal hawks demanding beefed-up spending reductions while others want softening of the House’s Medicaid language and to preserve more green-energy incentives.

One of the Republicans he believes is in his corner — Sen. Rand Paul (R-Ky.) — said Thursday that while he supports the party’s tax agenda, he cannot support the bill if it includes a debt ceiling hike. Republicans want to use the party-line bill to increase the debt ceiling until after the 2026 election without having to give concessions to Democrats.

Trump spoke to one of the potential holdouts — Sen. Josh Hawley (R-Mo.) — Wednesday night, though their conversation also touched on unrelated issues like disaster aid. Two others — Sens. Susan Collins (R-Maine) and Lisa Murkowski (R-Alaska) said they expected significant changes.

Make no mistake, this thing will eventually pass, but we're a long way from knowing what the final product will look like.

From the Politico article, Rand Paul is expected to be a definite NO vote and Ron Johnson may be as well. Add in Hawley, Collins & Murkowski who all apparently have significant issues with the House passed version and you have a pretty strong guarantee that the Senate will make changes which the House would then need to approve as well. I don't think we're very close to a final bill being signed into law anytime real soon.