Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News Editorials & Other Articles General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

Economy

ColinC

(11,098 posts)

7. The short term economy is a key that could flip Alan Lichtmans prediction

Reply to Doodley (Reply #5)

Mon Aug 5, 2024, 07:32 AM

Aug 2024

Right now he favors Kamala winning by one key. If she loses one, then trump becomes favored. If the short term economy goes, then she would need either a foreign policy victory or cross party charismatic appeal to balance it out.im also worried about possible civil unrest at the DNC next month -as many groups plan to have rallies during the convention.

Edit history

Please sign in to view edit histories.

Recommendations

0 members have recommended this reply (displayed in chronological order):

7 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

Nikkei now down 25% from July 11 close, down more than 12% from Friday's close [View all] progree Aug 2024 OP

Holy cow! Nasdaq futures down 5%. This is like a tsunami. A stock market crash and news cycles saying how Doodley Aug 2024 #1

Markets Around the World Are Rattled by Fears of Slowing U.S. Growth elleng Aug 2024 #2

NOT an expert, but surely won't put tmp in White House. elleng Aug 2024 #3

If the economy becomes the major news talking point. If we see a tumbling of US stockmarkets, it is likely in IMHO. Doodley Aug 2024 #5

The short term economy is a key that could flip Alan Lichtmans prediction ColinC Aug 2024 #7

I agree, not recession, but maybe 'late' on rate cuts??? elleng Aug 2024 #4

One months job numbers seems to be the main trigger, which is ridiculous as the figures are often adjusted Doodley Aug 2024 #6