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pstokely

(10,804 posts)
Wed Jul 23, 2025, 12:24 AM 9 hrs ago

Where could the House GOP redistrict next? (Punchbowl news)

https://punchbowl.news/article/campaigns/gop-redistricting-next/

"Here are the top places to watch.

Missouri. This is perhaps the easiest place for the GOP to gain a seat. Republicans in Jefferson City are already discussing a new map that would give them seven of the state’s eight districts — and the White House is on board, according to sources familiar with the process. In 2022, Missouri lawmakers drew a map that elected six Republicans and two Democrats over the vehement objections of some in the GOP.

The Kansas City-based seat of Democratic Rep. Emanuel Cleaver isn’t protected by the Voting Rights Act. Republicans could end Cleaver’s congressional tenure by cracking Kansas City.

Florida. Twenty of the state’s 28 districts are GOP-held. Some Republicans believe they could squeeze even more out of a new map, thanks to the rapid political transformation in South Florida since 2020. Democratic Reps. Debbie Wasserman Schultz, Jared Moskowitz and Lois Frankel could be in the danger zone there.

Other possible targets: Rep. Kathy Castor in Tampa and Darren Soto in the Orlando area. GOP Gov. Ron DeSantis has already proven aggressive when it comes to redistricting. His decision to doom former Democratic Rep. Al Lawson in 2022 was just upheld by the Florida Supreme Court.

New Hampshire. Former GOP Gov. Chris Sununu vetoed a map passed by Republican majorities in the state’s legislature that would have made Democratic Rep. Chris Pappas’ district more winnable.

Sununu’s successor, Republican Gov. Kelly Ayotte, sounded skeptical about mid-decade redistricting in late 2024. But if Ayotte gets on board, there are Republicans in the legislature who would love to push their preferred map. It doesn’t hurt that Pappas is leaving the House.

Beyond these states, it gets much more difficult, but not impossible, for Republicans to push new maps."
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